Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.693890 3.107000 3.563159 4.104385 4.729317 5.428615 6.271061
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.121569 2.657211 3.299300 4.126418 5.164988 6.427751 8.082739
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.707249 2.297457 3.057450 4.109431 5.531040 7.390225 10.014646
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.352670 1.940599 2.747569 3.938783 5.658100 8.058713 11.681688
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.084980 1.648840 2.468578 3.750997 5.715518 8.626044 13.293570
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.938768 1.504107 2.370574 3.800566 6.114818 9.736472 15.880327
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.791700 1.331251 2.199102 3.703303 6.263435 10.476578 18.003617
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.730562 1.285469 2.219458 3.914740 6.940470 12.162048 21.959068
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.666455 1.223201 2.200694 4.052917 7.508611 13.742807 25.988696
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.593959 1.133834 2.119744 4.064458 7.846210 14.957893 29.541135
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.505063 0.999942 1.937303 3.856599 7.735704 15.318277 31.503880
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.471585 0.967355 1.940371 4.006485 8.342406 17.144231 36.684455
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.446571 0.949939 1.974525 4.232963 9.159364 19.556252 43.590412
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.410090 0.903188 1.942485 4.316874 9.691990 21.467404 49.768531
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.372637 0.848520 1.885658 4.338074 10.091548 23.157179 55.760174
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.326512 0.767323 1.758957 4.181569 10.060986 23.876549 59.604404
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.284888 0.689960 1.629173 3.996406 9.930628 24.338417 62.895569
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.264311 0.659516 1.603751 4.058518 10.413615 26.353440 70.490798
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.236708 0.607590 1.519291 3.960252 10.476110 27.332891 75.551285
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.229671 0.606608 1.560204 4.190428 11.432461 30.764441 87.916091
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.218897 0.594234 1.570380 4.341003 12.200724 33.825202 99.820885
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.202795 0.565131 1.532646 4.354967 12.593231 35.924449 109.334016
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.178588 0.510059 1.417350 4.132968 12.275567 35.972522 112.707429